a student hits a target with the probability of 0.2 how many times should she shoot the target to ensure at least a 50% chance of hitting the target
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On her fourth shot she will guarantee to have more than 50% chance of hitting the target.
Since the student hits with probability of 0.2, then she misses with probability (1-0.2)=0.8.
So, after shooting n times, she will miss miss all of the hits with probability
If she wants to ensure at least 50% , she should shoot a number n such that
This can be solved by logarithms using the fact that
Then we'll have
Using a calculator we can find that
That means on her third shot, she will be closer to 50% and on her fourth shot, She will have more than 50% chance of hitting the target.
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